Happy Saturday, everybody. Thanks for checking in with your morning weather update.
We’ve got showers and a few rumbles of thunder sliding through this morning, but the bigger story is the major pattern shift coming just in time for the busiest travel week and shopping weekend of the entire year.
The atmosphere is about to get loud — multiple storm systems, a strong cold front, and a deep trough of low pressure all rolling through before the end of the month. If you have travel plans between now and Thanksgiving weekend, you’ll want to pay attention to the timing of each system.
Let’s walk through the details, break it all down, and get you ready for the days ahead.
This Morning: Showers Move Out, Clouds Linger, Sunshine Later
We begin today with leftover showers and a few thunderstorms early this morning. Thankfully, unlike the last few days, dense fog is not an issue — visibility is much better today.
Through mid-morning, the rain slides east, leaving us mostly cloudy. But sunshine breaks back through by midday and into the afternoon. So if you’re running errands, holiday shopping, or just enjoying Saturday out and about, grab the sunglasses.
Rainfall today will be spotty and light, and most places will not see much accumulation after the morning batch moves out.
Temperatures: Warm, Comfortable, and Well Above Average
Even with morning clouds, it’s a mild start with temperatures already in the 60s across parts of East Tennessee.
This afternoon:
• Highs climb into the upper 60s to low 70s
• Still trending 10–15° above average
• A touch of humidity lingers with dew points in the 50s
If you’ve got evening plans, temperatures fall slowly:
• 63° at 6 PM
• 57° by 10 PM
Light jacket weather — but nothing like the cold that’s coming later this week.
Sunday: Slight Cool Down, Still Pleasant
Tomorrow starts chilly:
• 40s in most spots
• A few pockets of 50s toward the Tennessee River and southern valley
By afternoon, temperatures rebound into the mid-60s. This is the “cool down” behind today’s cold front, but it’s still very comfortable for mid-November.
Skies stay partly sunny with no major issues expected.
Next Big Weather Maker: Tuesday – Wednesday Storm System
Here’s where things get interesting.
A stronger cold front arrives Tuesday, and this one will bring:
• Scattered showers
• A line of gusty thunderstorms
• A big push of Canadian air behind it
Showers and storms peak midday Tuesday into the afternoon, then move out Tuesday night.
Behind the front, temperatures slip and the air dries out.
Thanksgiving Week: Trough Digs in, Colder Air Arrives
Once Tuesday’s system moves east, we turn our attention to a deep trough building over the eastern U.S. Wednesday through Saturday.
Here’s how it plays out:
Wednesday
• Cooler, but still above average
• Increasing clouds late
• Dry for most travelers
Thanksgiving Day
• Colder air settles in
• Seasonal chill returns
• High temperatures drop into the 50s
Black Friday & the Holiday Weekend
• Even colder
• Highs fall into the upper 40s
• Nights drop into the 20s and low 30s
• Mostly dry — but chilly
Below-average temperatures stick around for several days.
This looks like our first true taste of late-autumn weather.
What About Snow?
No major winter storm for East Tennessee — at least not in this first wave.
• Light snow is possible across the Rockies, Plains, and Upper Midwest
• Some models suggest a brief shot of flurries for the higher elevations in TN/KY next weekend
• Nothing significant for the Valley at this point
We’ll keep watching trends as the trough deepens late next week.
Rainfall Outlook Through Friday
Totals across East Tennessee:
• Generally 0.25″ to 0.75″
• Localized higher totals Tuesday with thunderstorms
• Heavier rain stays west of the Mississippi and north into the Ohio Valley
This is typical November pattern: frequent waves, but not huge amounts.
Your 7-Day Forecast
Saturday: 70°, warm & breezy
Sunday: 65°, cooler but pleasant
Monday: 60°, dry
Tuesday: 70°, showers & storms
Wednesday: 62°, drying out
Thanksgiving: 52°, chilly & dry
Black Friday: 48°, cold air takes over
A big pattern shift — but nothing locally that should cause major travel disruptions.
Tuesday is the day to watch for weather impacts.
Travel Reminder
This is the busiest travel week of the year. Don’t forget — the East Tennessee Weather App goes wherever you go:
• Interactive radar
• Hour-by-hour forecasts
• Lightning alerts
• Travel weather across the country
• Witcher’s One Minute Weather
Just search East Tennessee Weather in your app store.
