Happy Monday, everybody.
Sure hope you had a great weekend. Thanks for checking in with your long-version forecast. We’ve got plenty to talk about today as we inch closer to Thanksgiving, including a cold front, rising rain chances, falling temperatures, and a chilly holiday setup.
Let’s walk through the entire pattern so you know exactly what to expect.
Warm today and Tuesday Before a Cold Front Arrives
Yesterday was warm again — running almost 10° above average — and today we keep that same theme going.
But the warmth won’t last much longer.
A cold front is on the way, and it will:
• Bring showers and a few thunderstorms overnight
• Continue waves of rain Tuesday
• Leave lingering showers Wednesday morning
• Pull in colder, drier air by Wednesday afternoon
• Set the stage for a chilly Thanksgiving and Black Friday
No severe weather expected as it stands right now — just a steady, soaking rainmaker.
Temperature Breakdown: Warm to Falling Temps and a Quick Recovery
Here’s how temperatures trend this week:
• Today: mid–60s
• Tuesday: mid–60s
• Wednesday: upper 50s (but falling later in the day)
• Thursday (Thanksgiving): mid–40s
• Friday (Black Friday): mid–40s
• Weekend: rebound into the 50s
Important note:
Wednesday’s high in the upper 50s likely happens early afternoon, then temperatures drop sharply as colder air rushes in behind the front.
The chill won’t last long — we warm right back up Saturday and Sunday.
Futurecast: Dense Fog This Morning, Clouds Increasing, Rain Tonight
Let’s take you through the local setup hour by hour.
Monday Morning
• Widespread dense fog develops
• Temperatures mild
• Increasing high-level clouds
• Jet contrails become visible as upper winds strengthen
Monday Afternoon
• Mostly cloudy but dry
• Kids heading home from school won’t need umbrellas
• Clouds thicken toward evening
Monday Night
Here comes the rain.
• 7 PM — clouds fully in place
• 9 PM–Midnight — rain begins west of I-75
• Overnight — showers + a few thunderstorms arrive
• No severe-weather threat, but some pockets of heavier rain possible
By sunrise Tuesday, areas west of I-75 likely have the first soaking rain, with rain pushing eastward throughout the morning.
Tuesday: Rain, Rumbles, and a Passing Cold Front
Tuesday will be our wettest day of the week.
Expect:
• Waves of showers
• Isolated rumbles of thunder
• Occasional heavier downpours
• Steady rain through Tuesday evening
• Cold front arriving Tuesday night into early Wednesday
Rain continues into Tuesday night before tapering during the early morning hours on Wednesday.
Once the front passes, colder and drier air begins working its way in.
Wednesday: Lingering Showers Then Clearing Skies
Early Wednesday:
• A few light lingering showers
• Mostly cloudy
• Cool breeze
By afternoon:
• Drying out
• Temperatures fall
• Sunshine returns late in the day
• Much colder air begins spilling in
By Wednesday night, you’ll definitely feel that change.
Rainfall Totals: A Soaking 1-2 Inches Likely
This system is a healthy rainmaker.
Most of East Tennessee will pick up:
• 1 inch of rain
• Pockets of up to 2 inches under heavier bands
This is beneficial rain — widespread and steady.
Cold Air Moves In for Thanksgiving and Black Friday
A deeper push of Canadian air arrives Wednesday night and settles in for the holiday.
Here’s the 4-day Thanksgiving weekend breakdown:
Thanksgiving Day
• Near 47°
• Sunny, crisp, chilly
• Light breeze
Black Friday
• Mid-40s
• Cold morning
• Cool afternoon
• Great for shopping — just bundle up
Saturday
• Low–mid 50s
• Chilly start, pleasant finish
Sunday
• Mid–50s
• Warming trend continues
This is a classic late-November cool-down — about 10° below average.
Looking Ahead: Another System in About a Week
By next Sunday–Monday–Tuesday (a week from now), another system looks likely to arrive.
Long-range signals point to:
• Another round of soaking rain
• Some wind
• Possible temperature swings
We’ll update that throughout the week.
7 Day Forecast Summary
• Today: 60s, increasing clouds
• Tonight: Rain develops
• Tuesday: Rain + isolated thunder
• Wednesday: AM showers → PM clearing + falling temps
• Thursday: 40s, cold & sunny
• Friday: 40s, cold
• Weekend: Back into the 50s
Final Notes
Enjoy the sunshine early today while you can — clouds increase quickly.
Rain settles in tonight, and the cold arrives Wednesday.
Thanksgiving and Black Friday look cold, clear, and quiet.
If you’re traveling, don’t forget:
Download the East Tennessee Weather App
Track the rain, check the radar, and get your daily forecast no matter where you go.
Have a great Monday!
